← Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK
Water Tera MageTier 2
at Grand Archive TCG Store Championship in GiK
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.2%
avg ELO -6.6 per match
expected value
43.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1139
· median 1139
· range 1139–1139
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1038
Q1 1171
Q3 1338
1439
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Water Fractal | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
